11.05.2021 12:26 The failure in pandemic management The early days of the pandemic in Turkey were characterized by a transparent Health Minister delivering statistics and updates. However, public support and trust in the government was short lived. At the core of this change is a loss of confidence. Now, given the acuteness of the problems at hand and the increasing domestic political turbulence, Turkey’s government lacks the bandwidth to develop a policy response to the post-pandemic aftershocks. 05.01.2021 11:27 Should the HDP be banned? The issue of banning the HDP from politics was dragged into national prominence recently by MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli. Personally, I am against banning political parties. Neither in politics nor in personal life have I seen the benefits of dealing with the results rather than the root of the problem. The results are never sustainable. 11.11.2020 11:22 2021: The longest year for President Erdoğan 2021 will be the longest year for AK Parti and Mr. Erdoğan whilst he tries to fend off calls for an early election in his darkest hour where he needs to convince the public that the country is on the right track leading to 2023. The opposition, on the other hand, needs to organize and convince the public it is the only way out. 14.10.2020 11:04 How popular is President Erdoğan? President Erdoğan is no where he used to be 10 years ago, but he still maintains a comfortable lead over his rivals. In a May 2020 poll, we asked respondents to name the politician best suited to resolve the woes of the economy. The respondents could answer with any name. Only 39.7% of respondents chose Erdoğan. 02.10.2020 09:37 Changing the perception of the economy Contrary to the official consumer confidence index, our figures tell a different story than the positive 20-point increase announced by TURKSTAT. Considering the fact that these indexes have a negative effect on the consumer confidence index these days, not taking them into account resulted in a very serious increase in the positive direction. 06.09.2020 13:11 Turkish Politics trying to crack its shell I think this is the perfect timing for an effective Greens Party in Turkey. It would be the ultimate appeal for the “Generation Z”. A leader of the Green Party that will get 3-4 percent of votes in the first round of presidential election might negotiate to become the Minister of Environment in the second round of the election. 28.08.2020 11:49 How Turks pick their political side in Turkey? The nature of the Nation’s Alliance has changed. It no longer represents a pre-election alliance formed by CHP, İYİ Party and Felicity Party like it did prior to the elections in 2018. Instead, it represents a political block against the People’s Alliance that can reach consensus on a common denominator. 01.08.2020 13:51 Who is pleased with the presidential system in Turkey? Who is pleased with the presidential system in Turkey today? 61 percent of society prefers the parliamentary system as a form of governance. The change in the government system will serve as one of the opposition’s main issues in its communication as we approach the next election. 28.06.2020 12:53 The fight over the “restless conservative” in Turkish politics While they are no new demographic, the restless conservatives are getting stronger amongst the ruling People's Alliance electorate and the AKP base in particular. The Erdoğan and AKP that they had supported so buoyantly for the past decade are no longer the same. 23.05.2020 11:18 A misguided feeling of optimism over economy rising among Turks 42 percent of Turkish people believe the economy will be stronger next year. What is more, those who couldn’t even pay the minimum amount of their credit card bills last month, 58 percent believed that the economic situation would improve next year. Unfortunately, there is a misguided feeling of optimism around. 16.05.2020 10:33 Unemployment is looming on the Horizon There are two reasons why many jobs will not come back. First, some businesses will not reopen in the wake of this calamity. Second, consumer demand is unlikely to return to pre-pandemic times for a while. 09.05.2020 10:44 Turks uneasy about the “normalization” process In the latest surveys more than 50% of the participants stated that, even once the pandemic is over, they will go to the shopping mall less than they did prior to the pandemic. Statistics from China demonstrate similar consumer trends. It will take some time for consumer habits to get back to normal. 02.05.2020 01:41 IMF still negatively connoted amongst Turkish people Upon asking whether or not Turkey should borrow from the IMF in order to alleviate the economic effects of the coronavirus crisis, only 30.8% of participants agreed, while the remaining 69.2% disagreed. The fact remains that the IMF is still negatively connoted amongst Turkish people. 25.04.2020 11:02 Turkey's looming economic crisis As conditions worsen for the households, prospects get darker. It appears that the first wave of the health crisis will be over soon. Brace yourself for the economic downturn that it will leave its wake. That is of course until the pandemic’s second wave. 18.04.2020 10:57 COVID-19 donations in Turkey overshadowed by politics Some 50 percent of Turkish people disagree with President Erdoğan's donation campaign and believe that the government should be supporting the people and not the other way around. Some 41 percent disagree with the government's move to freeze CHP-led municipalities' donation campaigns while only 35 percent support the decision. 10.04.2020 01:01 Stricter coronavirus measures by individuals on the rise in Turkey In the early days of March, our polling results suggested that 46% of the population in Turkey would not get vaccinated if a vaccine was developed against COVID-19. Luckily, this indifference to the virus has evolved for the better between March and now. As we enter the most critical two weeks of the pandemic in Turkey, the numbers with respect to self-isolation and precautions offer more hope. 04.04.2020 02:12 Municipalities vs. Erdoğan's gov't The move by the government to freeze the donation accounts of municipalities will not benefit anyone.It is not the public that is getting polarized, it is the politics. And those who polarize will lose this race. 27.03.2020 00:40 Which curve will Erdoğan's government save? Like all governments around the world, the Turkish government has a number of tough calls to make during this time of public health turned economic crisis. So far, the Turkish government seems to have opted to keep up economic activity as long as it can, before it imposes a total lockdown. 21.03.2020 15:39 What we need in Turkey is a sense of urgency, not panic Only one in two people in Turkey are worried about Coronavirus, while close to 20 percent stated that they were “neither worried nor unworried”. More strikingly, despite the warnings only 48 percent do not shake hands while only 49 percent do not kiss when seeing someone. 14.03.2020 00:19 Turks don’t trust anyone Amid growing tensions between Turkey and Russia on the Syrian battlefront, we asked respondents to rate the countries and international organizations based on how much they trust them. The bottom line of this story is that Turkish society has lost faith in its allies and neighbors. 06.03.2020 08:53 Erdoğan gov't risks losing domestic support for Idlib The Turkish public is focused on Idlib. Naturally so. The rising number of martyrs and the difficulty to see an definitive end in sight to conflict worries many people. The risk of losing Turkish soldiers is the chief concern by 47.1% among Turkish public. If the heavy Turkish casualties continue to rise, the government might risk losing domestic support. 29.02.2020 00:01 What Turkey's voters dislike most about their parties While one usually knows what people like about their preferred political parties, one tends to be less aware of what voters dislike about their parties. An investigation into this by TurkiyeRaporu.com showed that Turkey's two largest parties also have the most disgruntled base. 20.02.2020 23:45 Turkey's most pressing challenge is long-term unemployment The most pressing problem Turkey faces today is unemployment. The main cure for it is an structural improvement of the Turkish economy. 14.02.2020 00:52 Why do Turkish people vote? In a country that has more than 50 million registered voters, a single vote does not carry much influence. Yet voter turnout in Turkish elections remains over 80%. So why do Turkish people vote? In fact, fulfilling one's duties as a citizen matters more than having an impact on the election results. 07.02.2020 00:34 How ready are we for earthquake? Even though the majority of the society did not conduct an earthquake test, 66.4% of society believes that their home is earthquake resistant. In fact, 43.7% of attendants stated that they believe their homes are earthquake resistant even though they never conducted an earthquake test. Statistics demonstrate that Turkey is not prepared for earthquakes at both an infrastructure and individual level. 31.01.2020 01:45 Turkey's citizens are worried, though mostly about their individual security Following a significant earthquake and amid a turbulent political conjuncture, Turkey's citizens are worried. Yet rather than politics or economics, people are mostly concerned about their individual security and that of their families. 24.01.2020 00:11 What about new alliances in Turkish politics? Speculation regarding the potential of new parties are abound. According to our September 2019 polling across Turkey, the potential for the new parties that would be established by former prime minister Ahmet Davutoglu and former economy chief Ali Babacan stood a little over 17% combined. This number in line with the 15-20% of the electorate who are looking for something new. We will have to wait and see whether the new parties will be able to realize this potential. 18.01.2020 08:28 The politics of polarization are losing ground in Turkey As the demands of its electorate have changed, the AKP can no longer resort to ideological polarization. This could allow for shifts in the political landscape. 11.01.2020 01:30 Turkey united against sending troops to Libya A nation-wide poll, conducted during the first week of January, showed that 58% of the population is against sending troops to Libya. A breakdown of the result according to party supporters is telling. The AKP base itself is opposed to it and a divergence prevails between the AKP and the MHP bases. 03.01.2020 09:37 Too many hard sells for Erdoğan's government Turkey is now sending military support for the Government of National Accord (GNA) to aid in its fight against General Hafter. The potential benefit of this decision is too distanced from the public life. Particularly, if the mission turns into an operational one, it will be very difficult to explain to the public why we are indeed in Libya.