Global finance watchdog 'grey lists' Turkey in threat to investment

Reuters

An international watchdog downgraded Turkey to a so-called grey list on Oct. 21 for failing to head off money laundering and terrorist financing, a decision that could further erode foreign investment after a years-long exodus.

The Financial Action Task Force (FATF), set up by the G7 group of advanced economies to protect the global financial system, also put Mali and Jordan on its increased monitoring list, known as "grey listing."

Citing improvements, it took Botswana and Mauritius off the list, which now includes 23 countries.

Turkey, the largest to be downgraded, needs to address "serious issues of supervision" in its banking and real estate sectors, and with gold and precious stones dealers, FATF President Marcus Pleyer told a news conference.

"Turkey needs to show it is effectively tackling complex money laundering cases and show it is pursuing terrorist financing prosecutions...and prioritizing cases of U.N.- designated terrorist organizations such as ISIL and al Qaeda," he said.

Research shows a grey-listing downgrade strains countries' ties to foreign banks and investors that follow FATF rankings, suggesting the move could further weigh on Turkey's lira, which touched a record low earlier on Oct. 21. 

In 2019, the FATF warned Turkey about "serious shortcomings" including the need to improve measures to freeze assets linked to terrorism and weapons of mass destruction proliferation.

Other FATF grey-listed countries include Pakistan, Morocco, Albania and Yemen.

International Monetary Fund research this year found that grey-listing reduces capital inflow by an estimated 7.6% of gross domestic product (GDP), while foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio flows are also hit.

Unintended consequences

Foreign investors have fled Turkey in recent years, citing political interference in monetary policy, double-digit inflation and low official foreign currency reserves.

Foreign ownership of bonds is down to about 5% from 25% five years ago, a period in which the Turkish lira has shed two-thirds of its value against the dollar.

Turkey has carried out some FATF recommendations.

But one - a law last year aimed at curbing weapons financing - has been sharply criticized for unintended harm to civil society groups.

The European Commission this week urged Turkey to adopt FATF recommendations but also said the law - also based on FATF recommendations - imperiled civil society organizations, which now face penalties and undue monitoring of fundraising.

Amnesty International said Turkey's government will "almost certainly" use the law to target non-profit organizations.

It is an "unintended consequence" of FATF policies "which are all too often misused by repressive governments" to restrict rights, Amnesty said, calling on the FATF to push Turkish authorities to adjust the law.

Pleyer said the FATF is aware of concerns over Turkey's treatment of non-profit organizations (NPOs).

"Turkey needs to implement a true risk-based approach to NPOs and ensure authorities don't disrupt or discourage legitimate activity," he said.

In August Reuters reported that in at least five other countries - Uganda, Serbia, India, Tanzania, and Nigeria – legislation passed to meet FATF standards was used by authorities to investigate journalists, NGO workers, and lawyers.